The USDA-Economic Research Service released updated production and consumption data with respect to broilers and turkeys, covering 2024, a projection for 2025 and a forecast for 2026.
The revised 2025 projection for broiler production is for 22,044 thousand tons up 3.0 percent from 2024. USDA projected per capita consumption of 46.7 kg. for 2025, up 1.9 percent from 2024. Exports will attain 3,014 thousand tons, 0.5 percent below the previous year.
The 2026 USDA forecast for broiler production will be 22, 044 thousand tons up 1.2 percent from 2025 with per capita consumption up to 47 kg. Exports will be 1.1 percent higher compared to 2025 at 3,045 thousand tons equivalent to 13.8 percent of production.
Production values for the broiler and turkey segments of the U.S. poultry meat industry are tabulated below:
The January 16th USDA report updated the projection for the turkey industry during 2025 including annual production of 2,191 thousand tons, down 5.6 percent from 2024. Consumption in 2025 is projected to be 5.9 kg. per capita, down by 5.3 percent from the previous year. Export volume will attain 186 thousand tons in 2025. Values for production and consumption of RTC turkey in 2025 are considered to be realistic, given year to date data, the prevailing economy, variable weekly poult placements, production levels, losses from HPAI and inventories consistent with season.
The 2026 forecast for turkey production is 2,256 thousand tons up an optimistic 3.0 percent from 2025 with per capita consumption up 1.5 percent to 6.0 kg. Exports will be 2.9 percent lower than in 2025 to 181 thousand tons equivalent to 8.0 percent of production. This implies a reduction in selling prices for whole birds and products.
Export projections do not allow for a breakdown in trade relations with existing major partners including Mexico, Canada and China or the impact of catastrophic diseases including HPAI and vvND in either theU.S. or importing nations.
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